Paul Makube says the Russia-Ukraine warfare has despatched shockwaves by way of the worldwide financial system, particularly in power and meals markets.
Each nations are high exporters of wheat, maize, and sunflower oil, whereas Moscow is the world’s high provider of key fertilizers and gasoline.
In the meantime, India – the world’s second-largest wheat producer – has stopped exports to assist enhance meals safety.
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Makube, who’s an FNB Agriculture Economist, says wheat prices at the moment are near R8 000 a tonne – double final yr’s value.
“With the 80 p.c of worldwide exports coming from Russia and Ukraine, it creates a scarcity on international markets and the frenzy from rapid provides and costs skyrocket.
“It grows with costs which might be traded on the trade. Spot costs at the moment are nearer to R8 000, that is nearly 100% up on final yr. That may positively at some stage going to flitter by way of to the patron.”